{"id":5785,"date":"2023-05-14T00:06:32","date_gmt":"2023-05-13T20:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amip.az\/?p=5785"},"modified":"2023-05-14T00:06:35","modified_gmt":"2023-05-13T20:06:35","slug":"turkiy%c9%99d%c9%99-sukut-gunu-tufanqabagi-sakitlik-yoxsa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/amip.az\/az\/2023\/05\/14\/turkiy%c9%99d%c9%99-sukut-gunu-tufanqabagi-sakitlik-yoxsa\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 \u201cs\u00fckut g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d – Tufanqaba\u011f\u0131 sakitlik, yoxsa…"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bu g\u00fcn qarda\u015f T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 \u201cs\u00fckut g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201dd\u00fcr. Art\u0131q se\u00e7ki t\u0259bli\u011fat kampaniyas\u0131 bitib. Y\u0259qin ki, elektorat\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck qismi \u00f6z daxilind\u0259 se\u00e7imini d\u0259 edib.\u00a0 B\u0259s t\u0259xmin\u0259n ne\u00e7\u0259 faizi h\u0259l\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdd\u0259dir v\u0259 \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 s\u0259sverm\u0259y\u0259 getm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k? \u0130\u015ftirak faizi n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir? Se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 i\u015ftirak faizinin y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n (hakim koalisiyan\u0131n) xeyrin\u0259dir, yoxsa m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin? Se\u00e7ki texnoloqlar\u0131 bu x\u00fcsusda n\u0259 deyir? \u018fn \u0259sas\u0131, 14 maydan sonra (qalib m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015f\u0259rs\u0259) qar\u0131\u015f\u0131ql\u0131q ola bil\u0259rmi? M\u0259\u011flub qalibi t\u0259brik ed\u0259c\u0259kmi? \u0130kinci tur ehtimal\u0131 n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u0259r\u0259f\u0259d\u0259 M\u0259ml\u0259k\u0259t Partiyas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259dri, prezidentliy\u0259 namiz\u0259d M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259 namiz\u0259dliyini geri \u00e7\u0259kib. Partiya s\u0259dri bildirib ki, \u201cSaraydan pul ald\u0131, namiz\u0259dliyi geri g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259z\u201d dey\u0259nl\u0259r var: \u201cOnlara s\u0259sl\u0259nir\u0259m – bu \u015fantajlardan qorxmuram. Art\u0131q 45 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, buna m\u00fcqavim\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rirdim. \u0130ndi is\u0259 namiz\u0259dliyimi geri g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcr\u0259m. Bunu \u00f6lk\u0259m \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn edir\u0259m. B\u0259han\u0259l\u0259ri qalmas\u0131n, se\u00e7kid\u0259 uduzanda (Kamal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunu n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutur – red.) b\u00fct\u00fcn g\u00fcnah\u0131 bizim boynumuza atacaqlar\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130nc\u0259nin bu s\u00f6zl\u0259ri v\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fdarlar\u0131n\u0131 K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011fluna s\u0259s verm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rmamas\u0131 onun CHP liderinin uduzaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc dem\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir. \u0130st\u0259nil\u0259n halda M. \u0130nc\u0259nin s\u0259sl\u0259ri daha \u00e7ox kim\u0259 ged\u0259c\u0259k – \u018frdo\u011fana, yoxsa K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011fluna?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xat\u0131rladaq ki, Kamal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu az \u00f6nc\u0259 v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131 se\u00e7kid\u0259 qalib g\u0259ldikl\u0259ri t\u0259qdird\u0259 evd\u0259 qalma\u011fa \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131b. S\u0259b\u0259b\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, onun fikrinc\u0259, t\u0259r\u0259fdarlar\u0131 se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259n sonrak\u0131 gec\u0259 prezident R\u0259c\u0259b Tayyib \u018frdo\u011fana sadiq \u201csilahl\u0131 \u00fcns\u00fcrl\u0259r\u201dl\u0259 toqqu\u015fa bil\u0259r. \u201cBizim q\u0259l\u0259b\u0259mizd\u0259n sonra b\u00fct\u00fcn v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar evd\u0259 qalmal\u0131, k\u00fc\u00e7\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 bayram etm\u0259m\u0259lidirl\u0259r. Kims\u0259 i\u011fti\u015fa\u015f t\u00f6r\u0259d\u0259 bil\u0259r, kimis\u0259 t\u0259hrik ed\u0259 bil\u0259rl\u0259r, silahl\u0131 \u00fcns\u00fcrl\u0259r k\u00fc\u00e7\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xa bil\u0259r\u201d, – dey\u0259 o vur\u011fulay\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00f6v Az\u0259rbaycan Xalq C\u0259bh\u0259si Partiyas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259dr m\u00fcavini El\u00e7in Mirz\u0259b\u0259yli K.K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun iz azd\u0131rmaqla m\u0259\u015f\u011ful oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr:<\/strong> \u201cM\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259nin geri \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259sinin s\u0259b\u0259binin onunla ba\u011fl\u0131 hans\u0131sa videog\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcl\u0259rin olmas\u0131ndan qaynaqland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirilir v\u0259 M\u0259ml\u0259k\u0259t Partiyas\u0131n\u0131n liderin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 kompromatlar bar\u0259d\u0259 m\u0259lumatlardan T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 r\u0259smil\u0259ri d\u0259 s\u00f6z a\u00e7d\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn, onun se\u00e7ki marafonunu \u015fantaj edildiyin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir. Qeyd edim ki, Kamal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun CHP liderliyin\u0259 D\u0259niz Baykal haqq\u0131nda kompromatlar g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259ldikd\u0259n sonra y\u00fcks\u0259ldiyini n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq, \u015fantaj \u00fcslubunun hans\u0131 dair\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 aid oldu\u011funu t\u0259xmin ed\u0259 bil\u0259rik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maraql\u0131 m\u0259qamlardan biri d\u0259 \u201calt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201dn\u0131n namiz\u0259dinin M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259nin m\u0259lum a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131ndan d\u0259rhal sonra \u201cTwitter\u201d hesab\u0131ndan Rusiyaya m\u00fcraci\u0259t \u00fcnvanlamas\u0131d\u0131r. Ayd\u0131nd\u0131r ki, K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u201cvideog\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc\u201dl\u0259rd\u0259 Rusiya izinin oldu\u011funu ni\u015fan verm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Haradand\u0131r onda bu m\u0259lumat? Q\u0131sa zaman i\u00e7ind\u0259 M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259y\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 \u015fantaj\u0131n arxas\u0131nda Rusiyan\u0131n dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 nec\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdirdi? Do\u011frusu, bu olay v\u0259 texnologiya m\u0259n\u0259 Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f \u015etatlarda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n son iki prezident se\u00e7kisind\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u0259mi z\u0259bt ed\u0259n \u201ckompromat\u201d sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 xat\u0131rlatd\u0131. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr\u0259m ki, M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259nin izini Kamal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun \u0259traf\u0131ndak\u0131 okean\u0131n o tay\u0131ndan idar\u0259 olunan \u201cbe\u015finci kalon\u201dun t\u0259msil\u00e7il\u0259rind\u0259 axtarmaq laz\u0131md\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CHP liderinin ortal\u0131qda he\u00e7 bir s\u00fcbut olmadan diqq\u0259ti Rusiyaya y\u00f6n\u0259ltm\u0259si d\u0259 bununla ba\u011fl\u0131 ciddi \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259l\u0259r yarad\u0131r. B\u0259llidir ki, M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259nin marafonu davam etdirm\u0259si daha \u00e7ox K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011fluya problem yarad\u0131rd\u0131 v\u0259 \u0130nc\u0259 az da olsa \u201calt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201dn\u0131n s\u0259sl\u0259rini par\u00e7alayacaqd\u0131. V\u0259 dem\u0259li, M\u0259ml\u0259k\u0259t Partiyas\u0131 liderinin geriy\u0259 \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259si d\u0259 istisnas\u0131z olaraq, CHP liderinin maraqlar\u0131na uy\u011fundur. Hesab edir\u0259m ki, M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259 geri \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131nda dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u015fantaj\u0131n arxas\u0131nda dayanan q\u00fcvv\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 b\u0259zi ipuclar\u0131 verm\u0259yi bacard\u0131 v\u0259 onun geriy\u0259 \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259si he\u00e7 bir halda \u201calt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201dn\u0131n xeyrin\u0259 olmayacaq. \u0130nc\u0259 onu ittiham ed\u0259nl\u0259r\u0259 – \u201calt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201d kompromat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131na y\u00f6n\u0259lik \u201cbu \u015fantajlardan qorxmuram\u201d dey\u0259nd\u0259 \u00e7ox g\u00fcman ki, \u201cvideog\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc\u201d d\u0259 daxil olmaqla ona qar\u015f\u0131 \u00fcnvanlanan b\u00fct\u00fcn ittihamlar\u0131n m\u0259nb\u0259yini n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tuturdu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAlt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201dn\u0131n m\u0259\u011flubiyy\u0259ti, sad\u0259c\u0259 R\u0259c\u0259b Tayyib \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n v\u0259 hakim partiyan\u0131n q\u0259l\u0259b\u0259si olmayacaq, bu b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fckd\u0259 m\u00fcst\u0259qil T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin onu marionet \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7evirm\u0259k niyy\u0259ti g\u00fcd\u0259nl\u0259r \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 z\u0259f\u0259ri say\u0131lacaq. \u201cAlt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201dn\u0131n se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 u\u011fur qazanmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin 1990-c\u0131 ill\u0259r\u0259 qaytar\u0131lmas\u0131 dem\u0259kdir. \u00dcmid edir\u0259m ki, T\u00fcrk xalq\u0131n\u0131n \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259si bu reall\u0131qlar\u0131 ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. T\u00fcrk v\u0259 \u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fctl\u0259q \u0259ks\u0259riyy\u0259ti Kamal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunu q\u0259bul etmir v\u0259 \u201cipi\u201d k\u0259nardan \u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n bir siyasi qrupla t\u00fcrk d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259ri liderl\u0259rinin anla\u015fa bil\u0259c\u0259yini ehtimal etmir\u0259m. Bu bax\u0131mdan, may\u0131n 14-d\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 tarixi se\u00e7im ed\u0259c\u0259k. Ya T\u00fcrk d\u00fcnyas\u0131yla birlikd\u0259 \u201cQ\u0131z\u0131l alma\u201dya do\u011fru y\u00fcr\u00fcy\u0259c\u0259k, ya da t\u00fcrk d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259ri yola q\u0131sa zaman k\u0259siyind\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 olmadan davam ed\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Siyasi ekspert m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin vahid namiz\u0259dinin insanlara \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015f\u0131na da toxundu: \u201cCHP liderinin insanlara \u201devd\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xmay\u0131n” m\u00fcraci\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259ldikd\u0259, o \u00e7ox yax\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr ki, se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 k\u0259nar m\u00fcdaxil\u0259nin hesab\u0131na n\u0259tic\u0259 \u0259ld\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259yi t\u0259qdird\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tinin taleyini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u0259nl\u0259r bunu ona ba\u011f\u0131\u015flamayacaqlar v\u0259 \u201cAlt\u0131l\u0131 masa\u201dn\u0131 FET\u00d6-\u00e7\u00fcl\u0259rin taleyi g\u00f6zl\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k…”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AM\u0130P M\u0259rk\u0259zi \u015euras\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259dri R\u0259\u015fad Bayramov \u00e7ox maraql\u0131 m\u0259qamlara toxundu:<\/strong> \u201cHe\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259siz ki, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k prezident v\u0259 parlament se\u00e7kil\u0259ri t\u0259kc\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn deyil, \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 T\u00fcrk d\u00fcnyas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00f6n\u0259mli se\u00e7kil\u0259rdir. Bel\u0259 ki, bu se\u00e7kil\u0259r qurulu\u015funun 100-c\u00fc ild\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc qeyd etm\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rla\u015fan T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 C\u00fcmhuriyy\u0259tinin ikinci y\u00fczilliyind\u0259ki inki\u015faf yolunun m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si bax\u0131m\u0131ndan tarixi \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t k\u0259sb edir. T\u0259bii ki, se\u00e7kil\u0259r Az\u0259rbaycan c\u0259miyy\u0259tind\u0259 d\u0259 maraqla izl\u0259nilir. Dost v\u0259 qarda\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259 olaraq bizl\u0259r t\u0259bii ki, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin haz\u0131rk\u0131 siyasi kursunun davam etm\u0259sini ist\u0259yirik. \u0130st\u0259yimiz AKP hakimiyy\u0259tinin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na qoydu\u011fu h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259r\u0259 do\u011fru f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini davam etdir\u0259r\u0259k, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n inki\u015faf etmi\u015f on \u00f6lk\u0259si s\u0131ras\u0131na \u00e7\u0131xmas\u0131, yerl\u0259\u015fdiyi regionun lideri olmaqla yana\u015f\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n s\u00f6z sahibl\u0259rind\u0259n biri s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259lm\u0259sind\u0259n ibar\u0259tdir. \u00c7\u00fcnki T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin g\u00fccl\u00fc olmas\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n da g\u00fccl\u00fc olmas\u0131 dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 hal-haz\u0131rda qlobal geosiyasi prosesl\u0259r\u0259 ciddi t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bil\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evrilib v\u0259 onun bu statusu qoruyub saxlayaraq inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259si laz\u0131md\u0131r. \u018frdo\u011fan hakimiyy\u0259ti d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 t\u0259bii olaraq \u00e7ox i\u015fl\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcb. Son 20 il \u0259rzind\u0259 ist\u0259r iqtisadi, ist\u0259r siyasi, ist\u0259r sosial, ist\u0259rs\u0259 d\u0259 xidm\u0259t sah\u0259sind\u0259 olduqca b\u00f6y\u00fck yol q\u0259t edilib. Apar\u0131lan islahatlar, h\u0259yata ke\u00e7iril\u0259n layih\u0259l\u0259r is\u0259 g\u00f6z qaba\u011f\u0131ndad\u0131r. Ancaq g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f b\u00fct\u00fcn bu i\u015fl\u0259r\u0259 baxmayaraq d\u00fcnyan\u0131 c\u0259ngin\u0259 alm\u0131\u015f iqtisadi b\u00f6hran T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259n d\u0259 yan ke\u00e7m\u0259yib, xarici t\u0259sirl\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n geril\u0259m\u0259si, TL-dollar balans\u0131n\u0131n k\u0259skin pozulmas\u0131, miqrant b\u00f6hran\u0131, t\u0259bii f\u0259lak\u0259t n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin alt\u0131da birind\u0259 ya\u015fanan \u0259lav\u0259 probleml\u0259r v\u0259 s. s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259r AKP hakimiyy\u0259tinin n\u00fcfuzuna m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r z\u0259rb\u0259 vurur v\u0259 bu amil d\u0259 s\u0259sverm\u0259d\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n rol oynayacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ndiki v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 sosioloji sor\u011fular\u0131n n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri \u201cC\u00fcmhur \u0130ttifaq\u0131\u201d il\u0259 \u201cMill\u0259t ittifaq\u0131\u201d aras\u0131nda b\u00f6y\u00fck f\u0259rq olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir. M\u0259lumdur ki, h\u0259m c\u0259nab \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun oturu\u015fmu\u015f elektorat\u0131 var v\u0259 h\u0259r hans\u0131 probleml\u0259r onlar\u0131n m\u00f6vqeyin\u0259 el\u0259 bir t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rmir. Sosioloji sor\u011fulardan m\u0259lum olur ki, c\u0259nab \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n daimi stabil elektorat\u0131 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 28-30 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil edir. He\u00e7 d\u0259 az olmayan bu r\u0259q\u0259min \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 7-10 faizlik MHP elektorat\u0131n\u0131, \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 2-3 faiz s\u0259si olan Mustafa Desticinin B\u00f6y\u00fck Birlik Partiyas\u0131, avrasiya\u00e7\u0131 Do\u011fu Perin\u00e7ekin V\u0259t\u0259n Partiyas\u0131 v\u0259 H\u00dcDAPAR-\u0131n se\u00e7icil\u0259rinin s\u0259sini \u0259lav\u0259 ets\u0259k, \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n t\u0259xmin\u0259n, 40 faiz \u0259traf\u0131nda haz\u0131r s\u0259si oldu\u011funu dem\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CHP-nin d\u0259 \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi oturu\u015fmu\u015f elektorat bazas\u0131n\u0131, \u0130Y\u0130 Partiyan\u0131n, \u201cMill\u0259t \u0130ttifaq\u0131\u201dndak\u0131 dig\u0259r 4 partiyan\u0131n v\u0259 el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunu d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini b\u0259yan ed\u0259n HDP-nin d\u0259 s\u0259sini n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq  K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun da t\u0259qrib\u0259n 40 faiz\u0259 yax\u0131n s\u0259sinin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ehtimal etm\u0259k olar. Amma burada b\u0259zi m\u0259qamlar da var. HDP r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun namiz\u0259dliyini m\u00fcdafi\u0259 ets\u0259 d\u0259, x\u00fcsus\u0259n, partiyan\u0131n c\u0259nub-\u015f\u0259rqi Anadoluda ya\u015fayan m\u00fchafiz\u0259kar t\u0259r\u0259fdarlar\u0131n\u0131n bir hiss\u0259si HDP-nin \u00f6z namiz\u0259di se\u00e7kid\u0259 i\u015ftirak etm\u0259diyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn dini d\u00fcnyag\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fl\u0259rin\u0259 daha yax\u0131n hesab etdikl\u0259ri \u018frdo\u011fana s\u0259s verm\u0259yi \u00fcst\u00fcn tuturlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, ortada t\u0259qrib\u0259n 20 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r, se\u00e7kil\u0259rin taleyin\u0259 birba\u015fa t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k s\u0259sl\u0259r qal\u0131r. Bunun 10 fazi\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259ri art\u0131q se\u00e7ki marafonundan \u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259xsus olan elektorat idi. Lakin o, t\u0259zyiql\u0259r\u0259 d\u00f6zm\u0259y\u0259r\u0259k geri \u00e7\u0259kildi. K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flunun \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi metodu, y\u0259ni kasetl\u0259 \u015fantaj metodu bu d\u0259f\u0259 d\u0259 \u00f6z i\u015fini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Xat\u0131rlay\u0131rs\u0131zsa, K\u0131l\u0131cdaro\u011flu m\u0259hz bu metodla zaman\u0131nda D\u0259niz Baykal\u0131 da \u015fantaj ed\u0259r\u0259k onun CHP s\u0259drliyind\u0259n imtina etm\u0259sin\u0259 nail olmu\u015f v\u0259 ondan sonra h\u0259min postu \u00f6z\u00fc \u0259l\u0259 ke\u00e7irmi\u015fdi. \u00dcst\u00fcnd\u0259n m\u00fcdd\u0259t ke\u00e7\u0259nd\u0259n sonra h\u0259min video g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcl\u0259rin saxta oldu\u011fu da \u00f6z t\u0259sdiqini tapd\u0131, amma olan art\u0131q olmu\u015fdu v\u0259 Baykal\u0131 postundan uzala\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa nail olan K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu art\u0131q partiya s\u0259dri postunda m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259n\u0259 bilmi\u015fdi. \u0130ndi d\u0259 olan art\u0131q olub v\u0259 M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259 se\u00e7ki yar\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan k\u0259narla\u015f\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Onun se\u00e7ki marafonundan \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259sind\u0259n sonra h\u0259min elektorat\u0131n s\u0259sl\u0259rinin bir qismi \u018frdo\u011fan v\u0259 K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu aras\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u0259c\u0259k. Bel\u0259 ki, \u0130nc\u0259 \u00f6z haz\u0131rcavabl\u0131\u011f\u0131, k\u00fctl\u0259ni \u0259l\u0259 ala bilm\u0259k qabiliyy\u0259ti il\u0259 f\u0259rqli ideologiya m\u0259nsub dair\u0259l\u0259rin r\u0259\u011fb\u0259tini qazana bilmi\u015fdi. \u0130nc\u0259nin zaman\u0131nda CHP-d\u0259 t\u0259msil olunmas\u0131, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259, son se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 h\u0259min partiyadan prezidentliy\u0259 namiz\u0259d olmas\u0131 ona CHP elektorat\u0131ndan m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n s\u0259s alma\u011fa imkan verirdi. \u0130nc\u0259nin eyni qaydada c\u0259nab \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n elektorat\u0131ndan da s\u0259s ala bil\u0259c\u0259yi real idi. Odur ki, indi geri \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259si il\u0259 s\u0259sl\u0259rin d\u0259 \u0259sas iki namiz\u0259d aras\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u0259c\u0259yi real g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Amma t\u0259bii ki, \u0130nc\u0259ni d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259y\u0259n elektorat i\u00e7\u0259risind\u0259 onun namiz\u0259dliyini geri g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259sind\u0259n sonra \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 i\u015ftirak etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin d\u0259 kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131land\u0131r”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Siyasi analitik II tur ehtimallar\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6n\u0259 \u00e7\u0259kdi: \u201cSadalananlar\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq dey\u0259 bil\u0259r\u0259m ki, se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 ikinci turun olma ehtimal\u0131 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr. Amma ist\u0259nil\u0259n halda son s\u00f6z\u00fc t\u00fcrk mill\u0259ti dey\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 irad\u0259sini se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 ortal\u0131\u011fa qoyacaq. Biz is\u0259 \u00f6z siyasi t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259miz\u0259 dayanaraq dey\u0259 bil\u0259rik ki, C\u0259nab \u018frdo\u011fan Az\u0259rbaycan-T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259, T\u00fcrk d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rinin bir araya g\u0259lm\u0259sind\u0259 \u0259v\u0259zsiz rol oynay\u0131b. Onun n\u00fcfuzunu, xarici siyas\u0259td\u0259ki manevrl\u0259rini, 44 g\u00fcnl\u00fck V\u0259t\u0259n m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin q\u0259tiyy\u0259tli m\u00f6vqeyini n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq, Az\u0259rbaycan ictimaiyy\u0259tinin qalib kimi \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u0259k ist\u0259m\u0259si t\u0259biidir\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cavan\u015fir ABBASLI,<\/strong>
\u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bu g\u00fcn qarda\u015f T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 \u201cs\u00fckut g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201dd\u00fcr. Art\u0131q se\u00e7ki t\u0259bli\u011fat kampaniyas\u0131 bitib. Y\u0259qin ki, elektorat\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck qismi \u00f6z daxilind\u0259 se\u00e7imini d\u0259 edib.\u00a0 B\u0259s t\u0259xmin\u0259n ne\u00e7\u0259 faizi h\u0259l\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdd\u0259dir v\u0259 \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 s\u0259sverm\u0259y\u0259 getm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k? \u0130\u015ftirak faizi n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir? Se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 i\u015ftirak faizinin y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n (hakim koalisiyan\u0131n) xeyrin\u0259dir, yoxsa m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin? Se\u00e7ki texnoloqlar\u0131 bu x\u00fcsusda n\u0259 deyir? \u018fn \u0259sas\u0131, 14 maydan sonra (qalib m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015f\u0259rs\u0259) qar\u0131\u015f\u0131ql\u0131q ola bil\u0259rmi? M\u0259\u011flub qalibi t\u0259brik ed\u0259c\u0259kmi? \u0130kinci tur ehtimal\u0131 n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr? Bu \u0259r\u0259f\u0259d\u0259 M\u0259ml\u0259k\u0259t Partiyas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259dri, prezidentliy\u0259 namiz\u0259d M\u0259h\u0259rr\u0259m \u0130nc\u0259 namiz\u0259dliyini geri […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4150,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5785","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kiv"],"yoast_head":"\nT\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 \u201cs\u00fckut g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d - Tufanqaba\u011f\u0131 sakitlik, yoxsa... - Az\u0259rbaycan Milli \u0130stiqlal Partiyas\u0131<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/amip.az\/az\/2023\/05\/14\/turkiy\u0259d\u0259-sukut-gunu-tufanqabagi-sakitlik-yoxsa\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"az_AZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 \u201cs\u00fckut g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d - Tufanqaba\u011f\u0131 sakitlik, yoxsa... - Az\u0259rbaycan Milli \u0130stiqlal Partiyas\u0131\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bu g\u00fcn qarda\u015f T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 \u201cs\u00fckut g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201dd\u00fcr. Art\u0131q se\u00e7ki t\u0259bli\u011fat kampaniyas\u0131 bitib. Y\u0259qin ki, elektorat\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck qismi \u00f6z daxilind\u0259 se\u00e7imini d\u0259 edib.\u00a0 B\u0259s t\u0259xmin\u0259n ne\u00e7\u0259 faizi h\u0259l\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdd\u0259dir v\u0259 \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 s\u0259sverm\u0259y\u0259 getm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k? \u0130\u015ftirak faizi n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir? Se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 i\u015ftirak faizinin y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n (hakim koalisiyan\u0131n) xeyrin\u0259dir, yoxsa m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin? Se\u00e7ki texnoloqlar\u0131 bu x\u00fcsusda n\u0259 deyir? \u018fn \u0259sas\u0131, 14 maydan sonra (qalib m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015f\u0259rs\u0259) qar\u0131\u015f\u0131ql\u0131q ola bil\u0259rmi? M\u0259\u011flub qalibi t\u0259brik ed\u0259c\u0259kmi? \u0130kinci tur ehtimal\u0131 n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr? 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Art\u0131q se\u00e7ki t\u0259bli\u011fat kampaniyas\u0131 bitib. Y\u0259qin ki, elektorat\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck qismi \u00f6z daxilind\u0259 se\u00e7imini d\u0259 edib.\u00a0 B\u0259s t\u0259xmin\u0259n ne\u00e7\u0259 faizi h\u0259l\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdd\u0259dir v\u0259 \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 s\u0259sverm\u0259y\u0259 getm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k? \u0130\u015ftirak faizi n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir? Se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259 i\u015ftirak faizinin y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 \u018frdo\u011fan\u0131n (hakim koalisiyan\u0131n) xeyrin\u0259dir, yoxsa m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin? Se\u00e7ki texnoloqlar\u0131 bu x\u00fcsusda n\u0259 deyir? \u018fn \u0259sas\u0131, 14 maydan sonra (qalib m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015f\u0259rs\u0259) qar\u0131\u015f\u0131ql\u0131q ola bil\u0259rmi? M\u0259\u011flub qalibi t\u0259brik ed\u0259c\u0259kmi? \u0130kinci tur ehtimal\u0131 n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr? 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